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Quarter End

The quarter end is traditionally a time when the financial world reports their returns, makes forecasts for the next quarter, and of course the unspoken game of “marking”, which my colleagues will not find my brute honesty humorous, but ...

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Primaries and the Fed

This week should be pivotal for the markets. We have another “Super Tuesday” that could be the decider for both the GOP and Democrat primaries, which will certainly drive some volatility (depending on who slings ahead). Yet this is more ...

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NIRP, really?

NIRP, Really?What is NIRPWhat is NIRP, quite simply it is the unimaginable just a short time ago. It is when the central bank takes rates negative. It sounds absurd and it is. During the height of the crisis, back in 2009-2010, as the Fed was ...

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Europe offers breathing room?

While I have been adamant that the Fed will NOT raise rates in December, one thing has changed my mind as it comes back to my CORE focus on the dollar and dis-inflationary pressure. We must remember at the end of the day it is the dollar and ...

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Easy Money

While earnings have been significantly mixed; Walmart, IBM, Chipotle and others getting crushed and Google, Amazon, and others beating – we are seeing huge volatility. There is one common theme that is a little concern, is that the net ...

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QE4 coming?

Is QE4 coming? Of course that was just a headline to catch your attention. The Labor Report certainly was a bust and came in far lower than my expectations. However, it has certainly justified and offered an excuse for our “Data ...

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Shoe Shine Boy?

The market fell again and we are now in precarious levels. We are roughly back to the previous lows in which we bounced from, only to revisit them a few short weeks later. The pattern we are experiencing is frequently referred to as a “Dead ...

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Fed Contradiction

The market remains under volatile conditions, as if the recent FOMC meeting created more ambiguity than certainty. The Fed did not raise rates, but maybe they will in October or December (the next FOMC) meetings. The market didn’t rally as ...

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